Claude Skills by human-avatar

Assigns explicit probabilities to distinct scenarios before making a decision. Use when asked to 'assign probabilities', 'scenario weighting', 'how likely is each outcome', 'quantify the uncertainty', or 'probability distribution'.

Entry point for the probability toolkit. Routes to the right probabilistic thinking skill based on your situation. Use when you say 'probability', 'how likely', 'am I overconfident', 'quantify this', 'what's the base rate', 'expected value', 'scenario weighting', or want probabilistic reasoning applied without knowing which specific tool fits.

Diagnose what's maintaining an entrenched behavior and design the right intervention to shift it. Covers habits, routines, and behavioral defaults. Triggers: 'how do I change this behavior', 'why does this habit persist', 'how do I make this stick', 'behavior change', 'breaking a habit', 'building a habit', 'why can't I stop doing X', 'how do I get people to consistently do Y', 'implementation intentions', 'habit loop'.

Diagnose which cognitive biases are actively distorting thinking in a specific situation. Not a laundry list — a targeted diagnostic. Triggers: 'what biases are at play', 'are we thinking clearly', 'what am I missing', 'bias check', 'cognitive bias', 'am I being objective', 'are we rationalizing', 'what's distorting this decision'.

Assess the fast-thinking pattern at work — when it's reliable, when it misleads, and whether to trust or override it. Triggers: 'should I trust my gut', 'is my intuition right here', 'fast thinking', 'heuristic', 'when does instinct work', 'System 1 vs System 2', 'pattern recognition', 'am I just pattern matching', 'is this a gut check or analysis question'.

Diagnose what's actually driving behavior — the person's own, someone else's, or a group's. Surface motivation vs. root motivation. Triggers: 'what motivates them', 'why are they doing this', 'what does this person actually want', 'how do I get buy-in', 'why won't they engage', 'what's really driving this', 'intrinsic vs extrinsic motivation', 'what need is this serving'.

Identify the right influence approach and construct it for the context. What actually changes minds and drives action. Triggers: 'how do I persuade', 'how do I change their mind', 'what would convince them', 'how do I get buy-in', 'how do I influence', 'influence strategy', 'how do I pitch this', 'what makes a persuasive case', 'how do I get them to say yes'.

Entry point for the psychology toolkit. Routes to the right psychology skill based on your situation. Use when you say 'psychology', 'what's driving this behavior', 'why is this person doing X', 'what biases are at play', 'how do I change a habit', 'how do I persuade', 'should I trust my gut', 'what motivates them', or want cognitive/behavioral analysis without knowing which specific tool fits.

Distributes limited resources across competing needs — making the trade-offs explicit rather than implicit. Triggers: 'resource allocation', 'how do we distribute this', 'competing priorities', 'trade-off analysis', 'how do we split this', 'allocation decision'.

Identifies what is actually constraining throughput — using Theory of Constraints logic: the system can only move as fast as its slowest point. Triggers: 'bottleneck analysis', 'what's actually slowing this down', 'where's the constraint', 'theory of constraints', 'find the bottleneck', 'why are we moving slowly'.

Finds the highest-leverage use of available resources — where the same input produces the most output. Triggers: 'resource leverage', 'highest-leverage use', 'where should we put our energy', 'maximize impact', 'leverage mapping'.

Finds where resources are being lost, duplicated, or underused — the seven wastes applied to knowledge work. Triggers: 'waste audit', 'where are we wasting resources', 'inefficiency audit', 'find the waste', 'what's being duplicated', 'resource leakage'.

Entry point for the resource toolkit. Routes to the right resource skill based on your situation. Use when you say 'resource', 'capacity', 'bottleneck', 'allocation', 'where should we focus', 'where are we wasting', 'highest leverage', 'what's slowing us down', or want resource reasoning applied without knowing which specific tool fits.

Finds specific details being overlooked — the most important information is often present but not being registered. Triggers: 'what are we missing', 'go deeper on this', 'find the details', 'be more specific', 'what exactly is happening', 'ground this in specifics'.

Separates meaningful signal from background noise — finding what actually matters among everything present. Triggers: 'what actually matters here', 'separate signal from noise', 'too much information', 'find the signal', 'what should I focus on', 'what's relevant'.

Applies disciplined observation to a situation — suspending interpretation to see what's actually there before deciding what it means. Triggers: 'observe this carefully', 'structured observation', 'what do you actually see', 'suspend interpretation', 'look more carefully'.

Entry point for the sensory observation toolkit. Routes to the right observational skill based on your situation. Use when you say 'sensory', 'what are we missing', 'look more carefully', 'separate signal from noise', 'too much information', 'what actually matters here', 'observe this carefully', or want observational precision applied without knowing which specific tool fits.

Maps who needs to be aligned, who already is, and how to build the coalition a proposal needs to succeed. Triggers: 'coalition building', 'who do I need to get on board', 'map the support', 'build alignment', 'who will support this', 'who will block this'.

Identifies group psychology shaping a discussion or team — groupthink, status dynamics, coalition formation, psychological safety. Triggers: 'group dynamics', 'why does this team behave like this', 'groupthink check', 'why won't people speak up', 'meeting dynamics', 'team dysfunction'.

Maps the actual incentives driving behaviour — distinguishing stated motivations from the real incentive structures that shape what people do. Triggers: 'incentive analysis', 'why are they doing this', 'what are the actual incentives', 'follow the incentives', 'what does the system reward'.

Maps who holds power — formal authority, informal influence, gatekeeping, expertise — and how it flows. Triggers: 'power map', 'who has power here', 'who actually decides', 'map the politics', 'who do I need to get on board', 'who are the gatekeepers'.