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Claude Skills by DanielTomaro13
github.com/DanielTomaro1313 skills0 installs13 views
- Backtest DesignHow to design and read backtests honestly — lookahead/leakage traps, point-in-time discipline, multiple comparisons, CLV vs ROI, sample size.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Book NavigationVerified bookmaker entry points (competition/event ids) for cross-book price lookups, starting with AFL.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Build A H2h ModelWorked example of model_development for match-winner (h2h/moneyline) markets — ratings + logistic regression, home advantage, draw handling.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Build A Totals ModelWorked example of model_development for totals (over/under) markets — scoring-process baseline, pace adjustment, holdout evaluation.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Calibrate ProbabilitiesHow to evaluate and fix probability calibration — holdout discipline, Brier/log-loss reading, Platt-style rescaling.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Compare OddsCross-bookmaker comparison workflow — find the same selection at every book, surface the best price, and flag value.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Dfs Lineup BuildingDFS lineup workflow — site rules first, projections with stated sources, deterministic optimisation via optimize_lineup, stacking/ownership as explicit judgment.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Model DevelopmentThe general model-building method for ANY market — framing, sample-size discipline, feature selection (user priors + data-driven), baselines, leakage-safe validation, calibration, persistence.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Prediction MarketsHow to read prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket) — price-as-probability, resolution rules before any comparison, fees/spread, and comparing exchange contracts to book odds honestly.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Quant ConceptsWorking definitions of the core quant concepts — Brier, log-loss, calibration, logistic regression, gradient boosting/XGBoost, regularization, walk-forward CV, CLV — and when each tool fits.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Reading A RacecardHow to read a racecard honestly — barrier/weight/form/scratchings, converting prices to fair probability (overround/vig), cross-book best price, and exotics.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Reading Line MovementInterpreting captured line movement — steam vs drift, why the close is the benchmark, and how movement context changes a value report.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6
- Vig RemovalRemove the bookmaker margin (vig/overround) to estimate fair probabilities and spot value.Votes: 0GitHub stars: 6