Analyze what could go wrong with a plan. Use when: - User asks "what could go wrong", "risks", "potential issues" - Before implementing a significant change - User wants to validate an approach - Planning a risky operation
Scanned 9/2/2026
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---
name: premortem
description: |
Analyze what could go wrong with a plan. Use when:
- User asks "what could go wrong", "risks", "potential issues"
- Before implementing a significant change
- User wants to validate an approach
- Planning a risky operation
context: fork
agent: oracle
---
# Premortem Analysis
Analyze potential failure modes before they happen.
## Purpose
Imagine the project has failed. What went wrong?
This technique surfaces risks that optimism bias might hide.
## Analysis Framework
### 1. Technical Risks
- What could break?
- What dependencies might fail?
- What edge cases are unhandled?
- What performance issues might emerge?
### 2. Integration Risks
- How might this affect other parts of the system?
- What backwards compatibility issues exist?
- What migration challenges are there?
### 3. Operational Risks
- What could go wrong in production?
- What monitoring is missing?
- What recovery procedures are needed?
### 4. User Experience Risks
- How might users misuse this?
- What accessibility issues exist?
- What confusion might arise?
## Output Format
```
## Premortem: [Feature/Change]
### High Risk
- [Critical failure mode]
→ Mitigation: [How to prevent]
### Medium Risk
- [Significant issue]
→ Mitigation: [How to address]
### Low Risk
- [Minor concern]
→ Mitigation: [Simple fix]
### Recommendations
1. [Priority action]
2. [Secondary action]
3. [Nice to have]
```
## When to Run
- Before large refactoring
- Before deploying new features
- Before architectural changes
- When something feels risky
## Remember
- Be genuinely pessimistic
- Consider non-obvious failure modes
- Propose concrete mitigations
- Store risks as learnings for future reference
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