S4ag Carbon

---
name: s4ag-carbon
description: "Carbon farming decisions: sequestration, building soil carbon, measuring organic matter, voluntary carbon credits. Use when the user asks 'how do I build carbon', 'can I sell carbon credits', 'how do I measure soil carbon', or 'what builds organic matter fastest'."
allowed-tools: [Read]
---

# Carbon

Carbon is not just a market — it is the measure of biological function in your soil. Soil organic matter is largely microbial biomass and residues, which means you cannot build carbon without building biology, and every practice that grows your carbon stock is simultaneously repairing your food web. Your goal is to close the gap between how much photosynthetic carbon your crops are capturing and how much of it is being stabilised in the soil, because that gap is also your fertility gap, your water gap, and your resilience gap.

**How this skill works:** Each sub-tool pauses at a **Checkpoint** to confirm the assumptions it is about to build on before producing output. A recommendation built on a wrong assumption wastes time and money — confirm the checkpoint before acting. Each sub-tool ends with **Next steps** — the skills worth running once you have acted on this one.

---

## Expert Lineage

*The thinkers whose frameworks underpin this skill — and what they specifically discovered that changes how you farm.*

**Christine Jones — The Liquid Carbon Pathway**
Jones identified the primary fast-lane for moving photosynthetic carbon into deep soil: root exudates pumped directly into mycorrhizal fungal networks. Living plant roots can allocate 30–40% of their photosynthetic output this way when the fungal network is intact. Her most counterintuitive finding: a single fungicide application can sever this pipeline more severely than tillage — because it destroys the mycorrhizal conduit rather than simply interrupting it. Practical implication: protecting fungal networks from chemistry is more important to carbon sequestration than any cover crop selection decision.

**David Lal — The Science of Soil Carbon Sequestration**
Lal at Ohio State University quantified the global potential of agricultural soils to sequester carbon and established the basic biophysics: stable soil carbon forms when organic materials are processed by the microbial food web and bound into aggregates by fungal hyphae and bacterial biofilms. His key finding: carbon stabilisation requires aggregate formation — loose organic matter decomposes; carbon bonded into soil aggregates persists for decades. Practical implication: tillage that destroys aggregates releases stored carbon even when the inputs appear to be building OM.

**David Montgomery — Documented Rapid Recovery**
Montgomery, a geologist, documented farm case studies in *Growing a Revolution* showing farms rebuilding organic matter by 1–3% per decade — far faster than mainstream soil science predicted was possible. The common factor across case studies: minimum tillage, cover crops, and compost additions applied simultaneously, not sequentially. Practical implication: OM recovery is not a slow linear process — it accelerates as biology recovers and the system self-reinforces.

**Gabe Brown — Farm-Level Carbon Building**
Brown rebuilt his North Dakota soil from 1.7% to over 6% OM across his operation through no-till, diverse cover crops (multi-species mixes of 20–70 species), and integrated livestock. His most transferable finding: the number and diversity of cover crop species matters more than species identity — diverse mixes feed diverse microbial communities, building more stable carbon than any single species. Practical implication: a 7-species mix beats a 2-species mix at OM-building even if the 7-species mix contains "inferior" individual species.

**Elaine Ingham — Biology Is the Carbon Mechanism**
Ingham's soil food web framework is the biological explanation for why carbon builds or fails to build. Stable soil carbon is fungal hyphal networks, bacterial biofilms, protozoa fecal matter, and nematode-processed organic residues — all food web outputs. Her specific finding: the fungi-to-bacteria ratio determines whether carbon stabilises or mineralises; fungal-dominated soils sequester carbon, bacteria-dominated soils cycle it quickly and release it. Practical implication: fungal inoculation and protection is a carbon sequestration tool, not just a fertility tool.

**Rattan Lal — Carbon Sequestration and Climate**
Lal established that every 1% increase in soil organic matter corresponds to approximately 22,000–27,000 tonnes of carbon per square kilometre stored in the top metre of soil. His work also demonstrated that degraded agricultural soils have the greatest sequestration potential — they are furthest below their biological ceiling. Practical implication: the farms with the lowest current OM have the most to gain from carbon-building practice, and will show the fastest measurable improvement in the early years of transition.

---

## Which tool fits

| You need to... | Tool |
|---|---|
| Understand how carbon gets into soil and stays there | sequestration-mechanisms |
| Identify which practices build carbon fastest on your farm | building-carbon |
| Measure current soil carbon and track change over time | measuring-carbon |
| Evaluate voluntary carbon markets and whether credits are viable | carbon-markets |

## Routing Decision

- **Want to understand the biology before acting** → sequestration-mechanisms
- **Ready to change management, want to know what moves the needle most** → building-carbon
- **Already making changes, want to measure improvement** → measuring-carbon
- **Heard about carbon credits, unsure if they apply to you** → carbon-markets
- **Unclear where to start** → sequestration-mechanisms; it frames everything else

---

## Sequestration Mechanisms

*Explains how photosynthetic carbon enters the soil, what stabilises it, and what destroys it — the biology behind the numbers.*

Understanding the mechanism prevents wasted effort. Farmers who add compost while continuing heavy tillage and fungicide use are adding carbon with one hand and releasing it with the other. The sequestration pathway has three stages: capture, transport, and stabilisation — and management can help or interrupt each one.

**Stage 1: Capture — Photosynthesis and the Living Root**

Carbon enters the soil system through two routes:

| Route | Mechanism | Speed | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Surface residue | Crop and cover crop biomass decomposed by soil organisms | Slow — months to years | Low to moderate — depends on aggregate formation |
| Root exudates | Sugars and amino acids secreted by living roots directly into the rhizosphere | Fast — hours to days | High when mycorrhizal networks are intact |

The root exudate route is the liquid carbon pathway Christine Jones identified. Living roots are the active pump. When soil is bare, the pump stops — which is why bare soil periods are the single most damaging thing for long-term carbon accumulation, more than any individual input choice.

**Stage 2: Transport — The Mycorrhizal Pipeline**

Mycorrhizal fungi are the primary transport mechanism for liquid carbon into deeper soil layers. Fungal hyphae extend metres beyond the root zone and carry photosynthate downward, depositing it as glomalin — a sticky glycoprotein that is both an aggregate-binding agent and a highly stable carbon compound. Glomalin comprises 15–20% of total soil carbon in healthy fungal-dominated soils.

What interrupts the pipeline:
- Fungicide applications — directly toxic to mycorrhizal networks
- Tillage — physically severs hyphal networks (recovery takes 3–6 months)
- Bare soil — no roots, no exudate flow, no energy source for the fungal network
- Soluble synthetic N and P — reduce the plant's investment in mycorrhizal associations (plant allocates less root exudate when nutrients are freely available from solution)

**Stage 3: Stabilisation — Aggregates and the Food Web**

Carbon stabilises when it is:
1. Incorporated into fungal hyphal networks (high C:N ratio, slow to decompose)
2. Processed through the food web and deposited as microbial metabolites and fecal pellets
3. Physically protected inside soil aggregates — bound by fungal hyphae, bacterial biofilms, and glomalin

Aggregate stability is the test. A slake test (drop a dry aggregate into water and watch whether it holds or disperses) tells you immediately whether your carbon has been stabilised or is still loose and at risk.

**What destroys stored carbon:**
- Tillage breaks aggregates and exposes stabilised carbon to rapid microbial oxidation
- Prolonged bare soil (no root exudate energy for the food web — biology begins mineralising stored OM)
- Anoxic conditions (waterlogging) — triggers anaerobic decomposition and carbon release as methane
- Acidification below pH 5.5 — disrupts fungal communities and slows aggregate formation

**Food web note:** The entire carbon sequestration process is biological. There is no non-biological route to stable, long-term soil carbon. Any management decision that kills biology — fungicides, soluble synthetics at high rates, over-tillage — undermines carbon sequestration even if OM inputs are high.

**Checkpoint — confirm before finalising:**
- What is the current tillage regime? Heavy tillage makes surface carbon additions largely futile.
- Is fungicide use current practice? If so, the mycorrhizal pipeline is compromised — the sequestration mechanism, not just the biology, is damaged.
- Are there extended bare soil periods? Living roots are the input driver — bare soil gaps cut the flow regardless of other inputs.

A carbon-building plan built without knowing these three factors will recommend inputs into a broken system.

**Output:**
```
SEQUESTRATION MECHANISM ASSESSMENT

CAPTURE
Living root cover: [continuous / seasonal gaps / extended bare periods]
Root exudate flow status: [strong / moderate / interrupted — reason]

TRANSPORT
Fungicide use: [yes / no / occasional]
Mycorrhizal network status: [likely intact / likely compromised / unknown]
Tillage frequency: [no-till / minimum / regular / heavy]

STABILISATION
Slake test result: [holds / partially disperses / fully disperses]
Aggregate stability: [high / moderate / low]
Estimated OM: [%]

BIGGEST GAPS IN THE SEQUESTRATION CHAIN
1. [gap with reason]
2. [gap with reason]

PRIORITY ACTION
[single most impactful change based on where the chain is most broken]
```

**Next steps:**
- Run building-carbon (within this skill) to translate mechanism understanding into a ranked practice list.
- `/s4ag-soil` — if the biological assessment is missing, run test-interpretation to establish the food web baseline.
- `/s4ag-composting` — compost addresses the stabilisation stage directly by inoculating the food web.

---

## Building Carbon

*Ranks management practices by their carbon impact and helps the farmer prioritise changes to their specific system.*

Not all carbon-building practices are equal, and not all of them are accessible to every farmer in every season. This sub-tool ranks options by impact and helps you sequence change without disrupting what is working in the current system.

**Ranked by carbon impact (highest to lowest):**

| Rank | Practice | Carbon mechanism | Timeline to measurable change | Cost / disruption |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Permanent perennial ground cover | Continuous root exudate flow, deep mycorrhizal networks | 3–5 years for measurable OM gain | Low once established |
| 2 | Diverse multi-species cover crops (7+ species) | Root diversity drives microbial diversity; extended soil cover between cash crops | 2–4 years | Low–moderate input cost |
| 3 | Eliminate bare soil periods | Keeps the liquid carbon pump running continuously | Immediate impact on biology; 1–2 years on OM | Zero cost — calendar management |
| 4 | Reduce or eliminate tillage | Protects aggregates; allows hyphal network to persist | 2–5 years to rebuild fungal populations | Variable — equipment and weed pressure |
| 5 | Compost additions | Inoculates the food web; adds stable organic materials; improves aggregate formation | 1–2 seasons for biological effect | Moderate cost; free if on-farm |
| 6 | Integrated livestock on cover crops | Root stimulation from grazing; dung beetle activity; urine cycling; hoof action improves infiltration | 1–3 years | Requires stock and fencing |
| 7 | Reduce fungicide use | Restores mycorrhizal networks and the liquid carbon pipeline | 1–3 seasons for fungal recovery | May increase disease risk initially |
| 8 | Reduce soluble synthetic N and P | Restores plant investment in mycorrhizal associations | 1–2 seasons | Yield risk in transition period |
| 9 | Add biochar | Long-term stable carbon; improves habitat for food web; not a substitute for biological inputs | 50–100 years for the carbon itself; 1–2 seasons for biological habitat effect | High cost |

**Decision sequence for a conventional farmer:**

Start with what disrupts least:
1. Cover crop in every bare-soil window (doesn't require changing cash crop system)
2. Extend cover crop diversity — if currently 1 species, move to 3–5 next season
3. Introduce compost in the most accessible locations (market garden beds, trial area)
4. Reduce fungicide rate or frequency in one area — observe
5. Plan a tillage reduction trial — no-till or strip-till in one paddock
6. Introduce livestock grazing on cover crops where infrastructure allows

**For a farmer already on this path:**

If cover crops and reduced tillage are in place and OM is still not building, the limiting factor is usually:
- Fungicide use persisting alongside cover crops (severs the mycorrhizal pipeline)
- Cover crop diversity too low (fewer than 5 species)
- Legume proportion too high relative to grasses and forbs (bacteria-dominated decomposition pathway, not fungal)
- Livestock integration missing — grazing stimulates root turnover and exudate flow

**Food web lens on each practice:**

Before recommending any additional input — compost, inoculant, amendment — ask: is the food web present to use it? If the farm has been under heavy fungicide use and regular tillage, the mycorrhizal network is reduced. Biological inputs into a degraded food web have limited effect. Restore the conditions first (reduce disturbance, reduce chemistry), then add biological inoculants into a recovering system.

**Transition note:** Removing soluble synthetic inputs before the food web has recovered to cycle nutrients will cause yield reduction. Transition is not substitution — it is a phase where inputs overlap while biology rebuilds. A realistic transition timeline is 3–5 years from conventional to biologically self-sufficient, with inputs progressively reducing as OM builds.

**Checkpoint — confirm before finalising:**
- What practices are currently in place — tillage frequency, cover crop use, fungicide programme, livestock presence?
- What is the current OM level, or approximate — is this a degraded system (under 2%) or a recovering one (2–4%)?
- Is this organic or conventional — does the farmer want to maintain certification or keep conventional options open?

Without knowing current practice, ranking changes is guesswork — what is "next step" for one farm is standard practice on another.

**Output:**
```
CARBON-BUILDING PRIORITY PLAN

CURRENT SYSTEM SUMMARY
Tillage: [regime]
Cover crops: [current use]
Fungicide: [yes / no / selective]
Livestock: [integrated / absent]
Estimated OM: [%]

PRIORITY CHANGES — RANKED BY IMPACT FOR THIS SYSTEM
1. [change] — [why highest impact here] — [season to implement]
2. [change] — [why] — [season]
3. [change] — [why] — [season]

PRACTICES ALREADY IN PLACE — KEEP THESE
- [practice]
- [practice]

PRACTICES TO REVIEW
- [practice that may be undermining gains] — [reason]

EXPECTED TRAJECTORY
Year 1: [what to expect]
Year 3: [what to expect]
Year 5: [what to expect]

LIMITING FACTOR TO WATCH
[the single most likely reason the system stalls if it does]
```

**Next steps:**
- Run measuring-carbon (within this skill) to establish a baseline before implementing changes, so progress is trackable.
- `/s4ag-soil` — cover-crop-selection provides detailed species guidance; fertility-planning integrates carbon-building into the crop rotation.
- `/s4ag-regenerative` — if the direction is a full system change, transition-sequencing provides the multi-year framework.

---

## Measuring Carbon

*Practical methods for measuring soil organic matter and tracking change over time, from simple field tests to lab analysis.*

You cannot manage what you cannot measure. Measurement serves two purposes: establishing a baseline before changing practice (so you can demonstrate progress) and tracking trajectory so you know whether changes are working. Lab measurement is the gold standard; field tests provide faster, cheaper feedback in between lab tests.

**The measurement ladder — from cheapest to most rigorous:**

**1. Visual and tactile field tests (free, immediate)**

| Test | Method | What it tells you | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slake test | Drop a dry aggregate into a jar of water; observe dispersion over 5 minutes | Aggregate stability — proxy for fungal activity and carbon stabilisation | Qualitative only — good/moderate/poor |
| Earthworm count | Dig a 30cm x 30cm x 30cm hole; count earthworms | Biological activity — earthworms correlate strongly with OM and food web health | Species-dependent; season-dependent |
| Soil smell | Moist healthy soil has a petrichor (geosmin) smell from actinomycetes | Microbial activity present | Very coarse indicator |
| Colour | Dark = higher OM; pale = lower OM | Quick field comparison between areas | Soil type confounds (some soils are pale regardless of OM) |

**2. Brix refractometer (low cost, rapid)**

Brix measures dissolved solids in plant sap — predominantly sugars, minerals, and proteins. Higher Brix in plant tissue correlates with richer root exudate flow and more active soil biology.

- Tool: hand-held Brix refractometer ($20–50)
- Protocol: squeeze a few drops of fresh leaf juice; read the Brix scale
- Reference ranges: below 8 = deficient; 8–12 = moderate; 12–16 = good; above 16 = excellent
- Use: track improvement in the same crop, same field, across seasons as soil biology builds
- Limitation: measures plant tissue, not soil directly; confounded by variety, time of day, and water status

**3. Loss-on-ignition (LOI) lab test — standard OM measurement**

- What it measures: total organic matter (by burning off all organic material in a soil sample and measuring weight loss)
- Cost: $15–30 per sample through a standard agricultural lab
- Turnaround: 1–2 weeks
- Reporting: % organic matter. Note — OM is approximately 58% carbon, so multiply by 0.58 to convert to % organic carbon (SOC)
- Sampling protocol for tracking change: same locations, same depth (0–10cm and 10–30cm), same time of year. Variation in any of these creates noise that obscures real change.
- How often: annually for the first 3 years of practice change; then every 2–3 years

**4. NIRS (Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy) — field spectrometer**

- What it measures: OM, texture, and several chemical parameters from a light spectrum reading of disturbed soil
- Cost: $300–800 per test through a service; instruments are $10,000+ to own
- Turnaround: immediate if using a field instrument; 1–2 weeks if lab-based
- Advantage over LOI: can measure multiple parameters simultaneously; some services provide biological proxies
- Limitation: calibration models vary in accuracy for different soil types; not yet standard across all labs

**5. Biological assay — Ingham-method food web assessment**

- What it measures: active and total bacteria counts, active and total fungal hyphal lengths and biomass, protozoa populations (flagellates, amoeba, ciliates), nematode counts by feeding group
- Cost: $150–400 per sample through an accredited Soil Foodweb lab
- Value for carbon: fungi-to-bacteria ratio is the most direct indicator of whether your system is sequestering or cycling carbon. A fungal-dominated system (F:B ratio >1:1 by biomass) is a carbon-sequestering system.
- How often: at baseline, then after 2–3 years of practice change

**Designing a measurement programme:**

| Farm stage | Recommended approach |
|---|---|
| No baseline yet | LOI soil test (standard agricultural lab) + earthworm count. Do this before changing practice. |
| Making changes, want feedback | Brix tracking through the season + annual LOI |
| Serious about demonstrating change (for markets or credits) | LOI at fixed sampling points annually + biological assessment every 2–3 years |
| Entering a carbon market | Full monitoring plan required by the scheme — see carbon-markets sub-tool |

**Sampling protocol for repeatability:**

A measurement is only useful if you can compare it to a later measurement. To make comparisons valid:
- Mark sampling points permanently (GPS coordinates + physical marker)
- Sample at the same depth every time (use a marked corer)
- Sample at the same time of year (ideally the same week)
- Take composite samples (10–15 cores per paddock, mixed) to reduce within-field variation
- Separate topsoil (0–10cm) from subsoil (10–30cm) — they tell different stories

**Checkpoint — confirm before finalising:**
- Is there an existing baseline measurement, or is this the first measurement? If no baseline, the first priority is establishing one before changing practice.
- What is the purpose of measurement — internal tracking, or for a third party (carbon scheme, certification, sale)? Third-party use requires a specific protocol not just any lab test.
- What budget is available for testing, and how many paddocks or fields need covering?

Without knowing the purpose and budget, recommending a measurement protocol risks under-specifying (no defensible data) or over-specifying (expensive programme for internal use only).

**Output:**
```
SOIL CARBON MEASUREMENT PLAN

PURPOSE: [internal tracking / carbon scheme / certification / sale]

BASELINE STATUS
Existing measurements: [yes — date and method / no — establish before changing practice]
Fields to monitor: [list]

RECOMMENDED MEASUREMENT PROGRAMME

IMMEDIATE (free/low cost)
- Slake test: [fields] [when]
- Earthworm count: [fields] [when]

ANNUAL (lab)
- LOI soil test: [sampling protocol] [lab] [cost estimate]
- Sampling points: [permanent GPS or described locations]
- Depth: [cm]

PERIODIC (every 2–3 years)
- Biological assessment: [yes / no based on budget and purpose]

BRIX TRACKING
- Crop: [crop to track]
- Frequency: [monthly through growing season]
- Baseline reading: [to be established in [month]]

EXPECTED TRAJECTORY
Year 1 baseline: [anticipated OM%]
Year 3 target: [+0.x% if practices change]
Year 5 target: [+0.x–0.x%]

TOTAL ANNUAL TESTING COST ESTIMATE: [£/$]
```

**Next steps:**
- Run carbon-markets (within this skill) to assess whether your measurement plan meets scheme requirements.
- `/s4ag-soil` — test-interpretation integrates with the LOI result to build the full soil picture.
- Run building-carbon (within this skill) to implement practice changes that the baseline measurement will track.

---

## Carbon Markets

*Evaluates voluntary carbon markets, soil carbon credit schemes, and whether they are financially viable for the farm.*

Carbon markets are not appropriate for every farm, and the administration cost of most schemes currently exceeds the revenue for all but the largest or most rapidly-improving operations. This sub-tool helps you evaluate the real economics before committing to the monitoring and reporting obligations that all schemes require.

**How soil carbon credits work:**

Soil carbon credit schemes pay farmers for verifiably increasing the amount of carbon stored in their soil, measured against a business-as-usual baseline. The basic structure:

1. Establish a baseline measurement of existing soil carbon across the enrolled area
2. Implement additionality practices — management changes beyond what you would have done anyway
3. Monitor, report, and verify (MRV) soil carbon change at defined intervals (typically annually)
4. Credits are issued for verified carbon removal, sold to corporate buyers seeking to offset emissions
5. Credits are typically held in a buffer pool (10–20% withheld) against reversal risk

**Current major voluntary soil carbon schemes:**

| Scheme | Geography | Credit price range (2026) | MRV requirements | Minimum area |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indigo Ag Carbon | USA | $15–40/tonne CO2e | Soil sampling + modelling | No formal minimum; economics require scale |
| Nori | USA | $15–30/tonne | Self-reported + verification | No minimum |
| Soil Capital | UK/EU | £20–45/tonne | Annual soil testing + remote sensing | ~100ha for viable economics |
| Agoro Carbon Alliance | USA, Canada | $20–35/tonne | Modelled + field verification | No formal minimum |
| BCarbon | USA | $15–25/tonne | Rigorous soil sampling | 100 acres+ |
| Gold Standard Soil | Global | $20–50/tonne | Full third-party verification | No minimum but costs are high |

*Note: Prices fluctuate with voluntary carbon market conditions. Verify current prices directly with schemes before making financial decisions.*

**The economics of soil carbon — a realistic assessment:**

Well-managed regenerative practice typically sequesters 0.5–2.0 tonnes CO2e per hectare per year in the early years of transition (faster where soils are most degraded). At $20–40/tonne:

| Sequestration rate | Price per tonne | Revenue per hectare | Less MRV cost ($10–30/ha) | Net revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 t CO2e/ha/yr | $25 | $12.50 | $10–30 | Often negative |
| 1.0 t CO2e/ha/yr | $25 | $25 | $10–30 | Marginal to break-even |
| 1.5 t CO2e/ha/yr | $30 | $45 | $10–30 | $15–35/ha |
| 2.0 t CO2e/ha/yr | $40 | $80 | $10–30 | $50–70/ha |

The numbers suggest that carbon credits are currently a supplementary income stream for farms already pursuing practice change — not a primary driver of practice change. Farms that pursue practice change for agronomic reasons (improved fertility, reduced inputs, drought resilience) and then enrol in carbon markets as a revenue add-on are better positioned than farms that enter for the credit income alone.

**Additionality — the critical gate:**

All schemes require that your practice changes are "additional" to what you would have done without the payment. This means:
- Practices already in place before enrolment typically cannot generate credits
- Changes made for other reasons (organic certification, cost reduction) may be disputed
- Schemes vary in how they assess additionality — some use modelling, some require documented proof of previous practice

**Key eligibility questions to confirm:**
1. Is the land previously in conventional or degraded management (higher baseline difference = more potential)?
2. Are you willing to commit to 5–10 year contracts (most schemes require multi-year commitment with reversal penalties)?
3. Can you afford the MRV cost upfront or defer against future credits?
4. Is the sequestration rate realistic for your soil type, climate, and management change?

**Co-benefits that improve the economics:**

Carbon markets rarely stand alone. The most financially sound case for practice change integrates:
- Input cost savings as synthetic fertility is progressively replaced by food web cycling (often $50–150/ha/year savings)
- Yield stability improvement (drought resilience, biology-driven nutrition)
- Premium pricing through regenerative certification or direct marketing story (→ `/s4ag-certification`, `/s4ag-direct-marketing`)
- Carbon credit income as the fourth and supplementary stream

**Checkpoint — confirm before finalising:**
- How many hectares would be enrolled? Below 50–100ha, most schemes do not cover MRV costs at current credit prices.
- Are you already making management changes that would qualify as additionality, or would enrolment require new changes?
- Is there an existing soil carbon baseline, or would one need to be established as part of enrolment?

Without scale, existing practice information, and a baseline, it is not possible to assess whether a carbon scheme generates net positive income.

**Output:**
```
CARBON MARKET VIABILITY ASSESSMENT

ENROLLED AREA: [ha / acres]

SEQUESTRATION POTENTIAL
Estimated current OM%: [%]
Estimated sequestration rate: [t CO2e/ha/yr — range]
Reason for estimate: [management change planned]

REVENUE PROJECTION
Gross credit income: [ha x rate x price = $/yr]
Less MRV costs: [estimated $/yr]
Net carbon credit income: [$/yr]

ADDITIONALITY CHECK
Current practice: [description]
Qualifying changes: [list]
Additionality risk: [low / moderate / high — reason]

SCHEME SHORTLIST
1. [scheme] — [why it fits] — [contact/link]
2. [scheme] — [why it fits] — [contact/link]

CO-BENEFIT ECONOMICS (do not ignore these)
Input cost reduction potential: [$/ha/yr]
Yield stability value: [qualitative]
Premium pricing opportunity: [yes / no — route]

RECOMMENDATION
[enrol / investigate further / do not enrol at current scale — reason]

NEXT ACTION
[specific action — scheme contact, soil test, agronomist consultation]
```

**Next steps:**
- `/s4ag-finance` — integrate carbon credit income into the full farm financial model before committing to a scheme contract.
- `/s4ag-certification` — regenerative and organic certification often increases the premium pricing co-benefit that makes the full case viable.
- Run measuring-carbon (within this skill) to establish the baseline measurement that all schemes require before enrolment.