Claude Skills by Johna2an

Think clearly and decide well under uncertainty. Use this skill whenever you reason through a hard problem, analyze or critique an argument, evaluate a claim or a statistic, weigh evidence, forecast or estimate odds, make or pressure-test a decision, diagnose a recurring failure, red-team an idea, brainstorm or generate ideas and options, redesign something, model a situation, or check your own reasoning for bias. Grounded in 51 books on judgment, reasoning, creativity, systems, uncertainty, ...

Think clearly and decide well under uncertainty. Use this skill whenever you reason through a hard problem, analyze or critique an argument, evaluate a claim or a statistic, weigh evidence, forecast or estimate odds, make or pressure-test a decision, diagnose a recurring failure, red-team an idea, or check your own reasoning for bias. Grounded in 21 books on judgment and reasoning (Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow", Galef's "Scout Mindset", Tetlock's "Superforecasting", Silver, Duke, Meado...