Data & Analytics

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

Analyze CPAP sleep therapy data from the user's ResMed AirSense 11. Read daily summaries (AHI, leak, pressure, compliance) and per-session waveforms from EDF files served via WebDAV. Use when user asks about sleep quality, CPAP data, AHI, therapy compliance, or sleep analysis.

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

Analyze CPAP sleep therapy data from the user's ResMed AirSense 11. Read daily summaries (AHI, leak, pressure, compliance) and per-session waveforms from EDF files in the private cpap-data Forgejo git repo. Use when user asks about sleep quality, CPAP data, AHI, therapy compliance, or sleep analysis.

Skill for analyzing and improving compliance in the dismech knowledge base. Use this skill when checking disorder file completeness, identifying missing fields (ontology terms, evidence, descriptions), understanding weighted priority scoring, and systematically improving knowledge base coverage.

Skill for collecting recent clinical Practice Guideline citations from PubMed for dismech disorder entries. Use this skill when building or refreshing a care-guideline citation set — searching PubMed by disorder for Publication Type "Practice Guideline" within a recent time window, prioritizing disorders by guideline availability, and exporting a tab-delimited citation table for downstream phenotype/content gap mining (as was done for Fanconi anemia).

Query the AOP-Wiki XML export — Adverse Outcome Pathways, Key Events, and Key Event Relationships — through the installable aop-wiki-cli module. Use when asked to find the AOP/KE/KER for a mechanism, stressor, or adverse outcome; to run or write an AOP-Wiki term search config; to pull KER weight-of-evidence, empirical support, or evidence tables; to get event completion/integration rankings; or to refresh the AOP-Wiki XML snapshot.

当分析个人或他人成就差异的根本原因，并寻求提升路径时

当需要围绕一个特定目标，客观评估自身内部条件与外部环境时

当面对新机会（如赚钱、职业发展）时，本能地产生负面判断（如“这是骗局”、“我不行”），并伴随焦虑、压力等情绪反应

当面对数据、统计报告或量化信息，需要理解其真实含义、评估其可靠性并做出判断时

当在线业务增长停滞或无法盈利时，用于诊断根本原因

当需要构建有说服力的论点，或分析他人言论/文本以识别其说服策略和潜在漏洞时

当个人发展在某一领域遇到瓶颈，或某一领域取得突破后，需要评估其对其他领域的连锁影响时

当希望通过公开写作来内化阅读所得、建立个人影响力或创造价值时

在启动一个重要项目或关键行动之前，用于主动识别和防范风险

当需要理解个体或群体的行为、决策背后可能的真实动机、需求、认知偏差或情感驱动时

当需要理解自己或他人的行为动机、决策逻辑，或分析信息偏好时

当感到迷茫、缺乏明确目标，需要为生活或工作寻找新方向时

当想理解长期结果（如职业停滞、财务问题、健康恶化）是如何形成时

当需要分析一个观念、文化现象或行为模式为何能广泛传播并被人接受时

当分析一个市场（特别是数字营销或创作者经济领域）的演变趋势，并需要制定新的市场进入或内容策略时

当个人或组织经历重大环境变化、目标转换或阶段性迷茫时，用于理解当前所处阶段、预测发展轨迹并规划应对策略

当需要评估一个计划是否具备足够的挑战性以激发最大潜能时